12th August, 2026

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has used emergency powers to protect orderly markets to allow Kalshi to operate despite the New York government's bid to contain the prediction market platform.
The US futures and swaps watchdog on Tuesday exercised its emergency authority in response to the New York prediction market’s notification of a market emergency, due to New York State’s lawsuit against Kalshi for running an 'illegal gambling operation'.
Kalshi in its correspondence to the Commission after NY's complaint said that the ‘temporary restraining order’ (TRO) sought by New York attorney general Letitia James to prohibit the US firm from “operating a business that offers contracts relating to sports, culture, elections, and other events” would expose traders to substantial losses exceeding the collateralised value of the contracts and result in market disruptions.
The prediction market said that the state also sought more than $36 billion (£26.7bn) in damages.
The CFTC, after reviewing Kalshi’s communication, found that New York’s enforcement action and TRO motion constitute an emergency because they risk a “major market disturbance which prevents the market from accurately reflecting the forces of supply and demand” with respect to event contracts.
Accordingly, the derivatives watchdog exercised its emergency powers under the Commodity Exchange Act and ordered Kalshi to continue to operate in accordance with the Act’s core principles.
CFTC chair Michael Selig said: “New York intends to make event contract derivatives waste away under its iron curtain of state gaming laws before the courts get the chance to issue final rulings. Congress did not intend for derivatives exchanges to be regulated under a patchwork of state gaming laws.”
“These are financial exchanges that offer financial instruments and operate across state lines. They match the bid from a resident of one state with the offer of a resident from another state and submit the trade to a clearinghouse that backstops the transactions of customers throughout the country. New York has no business regulating these interstate financial markets,” he added.
The CFTC further said that if New York’s lawsuit, with the extreme relief it seeks, is permitted to continue, then a single state will effectively become the nationwide regulator of event-contract swaps on DCMs.
The emergency order is subject to review only in the US Court of Appeals for the circuit in which the party seeking review resides or has its principal place of business, or in the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.
The New York Southern District Court last week denied the CFTC’s ‘temporary restraining order’ to prevent the State of New York from moving forward with its state enforcement case against Kalshi.
Meanwhile, the Connecticut district court last week denied Kalshi’s request for a preliminary injunction against Connecticut officials, in a lawsuit where the US prediction market sought to prevent the state from enforcing its gaming laws against its sports-event contracts.
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