Kalshi prediction markets beat public weather forecasts, study finds

29th September, 2026

Narayani Srinivasan
Colourful data streams and binary code flowing across a dark blue digital interface.

Research finds market-implied temperature forecasts had lower errors than leading public models, highlighting prediction markets’ growing role in information discovery.

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ABN AMRO
Bank of America
CBOE
Citi
Goldman Sachs
DRW Holdings
HSBC
J.P Morgan
Marex
Morgan Stanley
SGX
SocGen
Susquehanna
MUFG Investor Services
TP ICAP
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