Kalshi data acts as a good forecaster for Federal Reserve policy: study

23rd February, 2026

Narayani Srinivasan
federal reserve

Kalshi markets provide a high-frequency, continuously updated, distributionally rich benchmark that can act as an accurate forecaster of Federal Reserve policy and economic data, according to a new study.

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ABN AMRO
Bank of America
CBOE
Citi
Goldman Sachs
DRW Holdings
HSBC
J.P Morgan
Marex
Morgan Stanley
SGX
SocGen
Susquehanna
MUFG Investor Services
TP ICAP

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