17th November, 2025

The chief executive of the FIA has flagged potential gaps in US rules around the growing event contract market, as the market experiences a wave of growth driven by a loosening of regulatory oversight.
Speaking as he opened the FIA Expo event in Chicago on Monday, Walt Lukken pointed to the growing number of contracts coming to market, and the ability of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to review the new instruments.
“We … need a frank discussion on the risk profile of these contracts and the customer protections afforded to consumers,” Lukken (pictured) said in opening remarks. “Even the CFTC itself is struggling to keep pace with the hundreds of contracts being submitted monthly for their review.
“These are not unsolvable questions, but we need to roll up our sleeves, with market participants and policymakers alike, to find the answers. These markets are innovative and here to stay, and it is imperative we build a solid regulatory framework that allows for their safe growth.”
A series of traditionally regulated exchanges are preparing to expand their presence in the segment.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) last month sealed a $2 billion (£1.5bn) investment in prediction market Polymarket, as part of a data partnership.
“These markets have caught a wave of excitement from a new generation of traders and gamers,” Lukken added. “Even Wall Street trading desks are using event contracts for market indicators on inflation, the economy, and government actions.
“But, as these markets move away from pure economic events to speculative activity and sporting events, policymakers and market participants are seeking legal clarity around what is permissible.”
22nd May, 2026
The exchange group said that modernised settlement and centralised supervision frameworks for central counterparties (CCPs) and index providers are essential to improving the competitiveness of European capital markets.
Narayani Srinivasan

22nd May, 2026
European Securities and Markets Authority’s (ESMA) chair Verena Ross stressed the need to revisit the regulator’s rulebook on market integration, enhanced supervision and investor protection to ensure that it remains proportionate in a competitive economic environment.
Aravind Bulusu

22nd May, 2026
While global dominance of US dollar is unlikely to weaken in the near term, geopolitical fragmentation could weaken the greenback's long-standing dominance in global trade and finance, a recent Acuiti report concluded.
Narayani Srinivasan
